«5 років після Майдану: хиткі дороговкази пам’яті»: соціологи про сприйняття Революції гідності

Сьогодні у Києві соціологи представили результати опитування щодо ставлення українців до Революції гідності (Майдану). Опитування під назвою «5 років після Майдану: хиткі дороговкази пам’яті» провели фахівці Українського центру вивчення громадської думки «Соціоінформ» на замовлення Національного музею Революції гідності (Музею Майдану). 

Згідно опитувань, більшість респондентів (з двох тисяч опитаних) позитивно ставляться до Майдану або ж підтримували Революцію гідності; близько чверті опитаних не підтримували ні Майдан, ані владу. Майдан активніше підтримували на заході та у центрі України, тоді як мешканці півдня і сходу країни «тримали нейтралітет», повідомила експерт центру «Соціоінформ» Наталя Зайцева-Чіпак.

«Україномовне населення країни підтримувало Майдан більшою мірою, аніж російськомовне. Чим вищим був рівень доходу респондентів, тим з вищою імовірністю він підтримував Майдан, чим нижчим – тим більше респондент виступав проти «заворушень». Чим вищим був рівень освіти респондента, тим більшою мірою він схилявся підтримати революцію гідності», – зазначила експерт.

За словами Зайцевої-Чіпак, сприйняття подій на Майдані «було суперечливим відразу», а за 5 років після Майдану контраверсійність поглибилась: «Спогади стираються, а сьогодення додає подіям нових оцінок – не завжди об’єктивних і дуже різних. В умовах активної гібридної війни – це надзвичайно небезпечний тренд, оскільки громадська думка легко піддається маніпуляції та вибудовує образи ворогів і недружні сенси», – наголошує соціолог.

Водночас, згідно опитувань, понад 70 відсотків українців вважають за необхідне зберегти пам’ять про події Революції гідності та вшановувати пам’ять героїв Небесної сотні.

Міністр культури України Євген Нищук і керівник Українського інституту національної пам’яті Володимир В’ятрович, коментуючи оприлюднені результати опитування, наголосили на необхідності «записувати, фіксувати спогади учасників Революції гідності», щоб зберегти пам’ять про події Майдану.


19 квітня киянам пропонують поїхати на роботу велосипедом

19 квітня в Києві відбудеться флешмоб «Велосипедом на роботу», повідомляє прес-служба Київської міської держадміністрації.

«До участі у заході запрошують працівників компаній, організацій і установ та мешканців столиці… Учасників флешмобу очікує сніданок із кавою, фото на згадку та конкурси на майдані Незалежності… У весняний день «Велосипедом на роботу» заїхати перед роботою на майдан Незалежності можна поодинці, разом із іншими учасниками зі свого району або разом із колегами у складі корпоративної колони», – йдеться в повідомленні.

Умови реєстрації для участі в конкурсі та програма заходу – на сайті мерії.



5 Things to Look for in Mueller’s Trump-Russia Report

Attorney General William Barr has provided only a glimpse of Special Counsel Robert Mueller’s report on the inquiry into Russia’s role in the 2016 U.S. election, with many details expected to emerge when the document is finally released.

Barr on March 24 sent a four-page letter to lawmakers detailing Mueller’s “principal conclusions” including that the 22-month probe did not establish that President Donald Trump’s 2016 campaign team conspired with Russia. Barr said he found insufficient evidence in Mueller’s report to conclude that Trump committed obstruction of justice, though the special counsel did not make a formal finding one way or the other on that.

The attorney general told Congress he hopes to release the nearly 400-page report this week, with portions blacked out to protect certain types of sensitive information.

Here are five things to look for when the report is issued.

Obstruction of Justice: Why No Exoneration?

Perhaps the biggest political risk for Trump is the special counsel’s supporting evidence behind Mueller’s assertion that while the report does not conclude the Republican president committed the crime of obstruction of justice it “also does not exonerate him” on that point.

According to Barr’s March 24 letter, Mueller has presented evidence on both sides of the question without concluding whether to prosecute. Barr filled that void by asserting there was no prosecutable case. But Barr’s statement in the letter that “most” of Trump’s actions that had raised questions about obstruction were “the subject of public reporting” suggested that some actions were not publicly known.

Democrats in Congress do not believe Barr, a Trump appointee, should have the final say on the matter. While the prospect that the Democratic-led House of Representatives would begin the impeachment process to try to remove Trump from office appears to have receded, the House Judiciary Committee will be looking for any evidence relevant to ongoing probes into obstruction of justice, corruption and abuse of power by the president or others in the administration.

Barr’s comment that most of what Mueller probed on obstruction has been publicly reported indicates that events like Trump’s firing of James Comey as FBI director in May 2017 when the agency was heading the Russia inquiry are likely to be the focus of this section of the report.

Russian ‘Information Warfare’ and Campaign Contacts

The report will detail indictments by Mueller of two Kremlin-backed operations to influence the 2016 election: one against a St. Petersburg-based troll farm called the Internet Research Agency accused of waging “information warfare” over social media; and the other charging Russian intelligence officers with hacking into Democratic Party servers and pilfering emails leaked to hurt Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton.

With those two indictments already public and bearing no apparent link to the president, the focus may be on what Mueller concluded, if anything, about other incidents that involved contacts between Russians and people in Trump’s orbit. That could include the June 2016 meeting at Trump Tower in New York in which a Russian lawyer promised “dirt” on Clinton to senior campaign officials, as well as a secret January 2017 meeting in the Seychelles investigated as a possible attempt to set up a back channel between the incoming Trump administration and the Kremlin while Democrat Barack Obama was still president.

Any analysis of such contacts could shed light on why Mueller, according to Barr’s summary, “did not establish that members of the Trump campaign conspired or coordinated with the Russian government in its election interference activities.”

Manafort, Ukraine Policy and Polling Data

In the weeks before Trump’s former campaign chairman Paul Manafort was sentenced in March to 7-1/2 years in prison mostly for financial crimes related to millions of dollars he was paid by pro-Russia Ukrainian politicians, Mueller’s team provided hints about what their pursuit of him was really about.

Prosecutor Andrew Weissmann told a judge in February that an Aug. 2, 2016 meeting between Manafort and Konstantin Kilimnik, a consultant Mueller has said has ties to Russian intelligence, “went to the heart of” the special counsel’s investigation.

The meeting included a discussion about a proposal to resolve the conflict in Ukraine in terms favorable to the Kremlin, an issue that has damaged Russia’s relations with the West. Prosecutors also said Manafort shared Trump campaign polling data with Kilimnik, although the significance of that act remains unclear.

One focus will be on what Mueller ultimately concluded about Manafort’s interactions with Kilimnik and whether a failed attempt to secure cooperation from Manafort, who was found by a judge to have lied to prosecutors in breach of a plea agreement, significantly impeded the special counsel’s work.

National Security Concerns

While Mueller did not find a criminal conspiracy with Russia, according to Barr, there is a chance the report will detail behavior and financial entanglements that give fodder to critics who have said Trump has shown a pattern of deference to the Kremlin.

One example of such an entanglement was the proposal to build a Trump tower in Moscow, a deal potentially worth hundreds of millions of dollars that never materialized. Michael Cohen, Trump’s former personal lawyer, admitted to lying to Congress about the project to provide cover because Trump on the campaign trail had denied any dealings with Russia.

In the absence of criminal charges arising from Mueller’s inquiry, House Intelligence Committee Chairman Adam Schiff has shifted his focus to whether Trump is “compromised” by such entanglements, influencing his policy decisions and posing a risk to national security.

Some legal experts have said the counterintelligence probe Mueller inherited from Comey may prove more significant than his criminal inquiry, though it is not clear to what degree counterintelligence findings will be included in the report.

Barr also has said he planned to redact material related to intelligence-gathering sources and methods.

Middle East Influence and Other Probes

Another focus is whether Mueller will disclose anything from his inquiries into Middle Eastern efforts to influence Trump.

One mystery is what, if anything, came of the special counsel’s questioning of George Nader, a Lebanese-American businessman and consultant to the crown princes of the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia who started cooperating with Mueller last year.

Nader attended the Seychelles meeting. He also was present at a Trump Tower meeting in August 2016, three months before the election, at which an Israeli social media specialist spoke with the president’s son, Donald Trump Jr., about how his firm Psy-Group, which employed several former Israeli intelligence officers, could help the Trump campaign, according to the New York Times. Mueller’s interest in Nader suggested the special counsel looked into whether additional countries sought to influence the election and whether they did so in concert with Russia.

A lawyer for Nader did not respond to a request for comment. Barr has said he will redact from the Mueller report information on “other ongoing matters,” including inquiries referred to other offices in the Justice Department. That makes it unclear if any findings related to the Middle East will appear in the report.


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Ex-Massachusetts Governor Weld to Seek 2020 Republican Presidential Nomination

Former Massachusetts Governor William Weld announced his candidacy Monday to challenge President Donald Trump for the 2020 Republican presidential nomination.

“In these times of great political strife, when both major parties are entrenched in their ‘win at all cost’ battles, the voices of the American people are being ignored and our nation is suffering,” Weld said in a statement. “It is time for patriotic men and women across our great nation to stand and plant a flag.”

Weld, 73, who served two terms as governor, from 1991-1997, enters as a long-shot candidate against an incumbent president who has remained popular within his party. Weld in February had said that he planned to challenge Trump.

Trump’s campaign raised more than $30 million in the first quarter of 2019, it said Sunday, far outpacing the sums raised by individual Democratic candidates during that period.

The fundraising underscores the willingness of Republican donors to invest in Trump’s re-election bid.

 


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Democrats: Trump’s Migrant Transfer Plan ‘Bizarre and Unlawful’

Key Democratic lawmakers on Monday accused the Trump administration of “a bizarre and unlawful attempt to score political points” with a possible plan to send undocumented immigrants detained at the U.S.-Mexican border to congressional districts represented by Democrats.

Congressmen Jerrold Nadler, Elijah Cummings and Bennie Thompson, all chairmen of House of Representatives committees investigating President Donald Trump’s administration, demanded documents and communications about the plan to move migrants from the border to hundreds of communities throughout the U.S.

In opposition to Trump, local officials far from the border across the U.S. have declared their jurisdictions as sanctuary cities for migrants and refused to help federal officials track down the immigrants so they can be deported.

Trump suggested again Monday he wants to move the immigrants detained at the border to the sanctuary cities and states after saying over the weekend he wants them “to take care of the Illegal Immigrants — and this includes Gang Members, Drug Dealers, Human Traffickers, and Criminals of all shapes, sizes and kinds.”

The lawmakers said, “It is shocking that the president and senior administration officials are even considering manipulating release decisions for purely political reasons.”

The government’s Department of Homeland Security has said that Congress has not appropriated any money to transport the migrants from the border to far-flung sanctuary cities, while the Immigration and Custom Enforcement agency has called the idea an “unnecessary operational burden.”

But Trump, who is often at odds with Democratic lawmakers over funding to control the 100,000-a-month surge of migrants at the border, revived the idea in recent days, claiming that opposition Democrats who favor open borders ought to approve of accepting the migrants into their communities. Some local Democratic officials have said the migrants, mostly from Central America, are welcome in their cities, while other party officials have claimed that Trump has no legal right to single out specific communities for an influx of migrants.

White House press secretary Sarah Sanders told the “Fox News Sunday” show, “We certainly are looking at all options as long as Democrats refuse to acknowledge the crisis at the border.”

Trump, in one of several Twitter comments on border security in recent days, said, “The USA has the absolute legal right to have apprehended illegal immigrants transferred to Sanctuary Cities. We hereby demand that they be taken care of at the highest level, especially by the State of California, which is well known (for) its poor management & high taxes!”

Washington state Governor Jay Inslee told NBC’s “Meet The Press” that his state welcomes people who are awaiting their asylum hearings.

“You can’t threaten somebody with something they’re not afraid of. And we are not afraid of diversity in the state of Washington,” Inslee said.

He criticized what he called immigration solutions based on “trolling on the internet” and instead promoted a system to process more asylum claims, a path to citizenship for those already living in the United States who came to the country illegally, and having an overall “acceptance of refugees because we’re a humane nation.”

The U.S. now houses thousands of migrants at the border but is running out of beds and instead is releasing new arrivals into the U.S. on their promise to appear at asylum hearings that might not occur for two years.

Press secretary Sanders said, “Nobody thinks this is the ideal solution,” sending migrants to sanctuary cities. But she said mayors of cities “who want this … should be looking to help” Trump resolve the crisis at the border. She accused Congress of wanting to spend “all of its time investigating the president” rather than dealing with the immigration turmoil.

Trump tweeted, “So interesting to see the Mayor of Oakland and other Sanctuary Cities NOT WANT our currently ‘detained immigrants’ after release due to the ridiculous court ordered 20 day rule. If they don’t want to serve our Nation by taking care of them, why should other cities & towns?”

Trump was referring to a court ruling prohibiting the U.S. from detaining migrant minors, those under 18 years old, for more than 20 days, before being required to release them to relatives in the U.S. or other caregivers.

Oakland Mayor Libby Shaaf responded to Trump with a tweet saying, “It’s time to stop fanning hate and division.”

“I’ve been consistent and clear: Oakland welcomes all, no matter where you came from or how you got here,” she said.

A key Republican lawmaker, Sen. Lindsey Graham, told another Fox News show, “Sunday Morning Futures with Maria Bartiromo,” that after the current two-week congressional recess ends, he would introduce legislation that would authorize the detention of children beyond 20 days, “toughen up our asylum standards,” and allow migrant children to be returned to Central American countries, which is not now allowed once they have entered the United States.

“We’re never going to change this with troops and walls at the border,” Graham said of the U.S. immigration crisis. “Doing what we’re doing is not working.”

He added, “If you get one foot into the United States,” migrants can seek asylum. “The word is out that if you come with a minor, you’re never going to get deported. We need to change that narrative. We need troops at the border. We need a law. But these (U.S.) laws are insane.”


The Right Tone May Give Presidential Candidates Final Sway with Voters

“When they go low, we go high,” former first lady Michelle Obama recited as her motto.

When it comes to electability, however, that could be bad advice — but not in the way that might be imagined.

Research into the voices of political candidates concludes how a contender speaks is critical — and lower pitch is better.

“Individuals with lower voices are more likely to win and to win a larger vote share,” says University of Miami Associate Professor Casey Klofstad. “What our experimental data show is that we like candidates with lower voices, largely because they are perceived as stronger and more confident and, to a lesser degree, because they’re perceived as older.”

This tonal bias may partly explain the under-representation of women in elected office. And with a record number of women vying for the Democratic Party’s nomination for U.S. president, the research is receiving wider scrutiny.

Stanford Gregory, emeritus professor of sociology at Kent State University, studied the voice characteristics of the U.S. presidential general election contenders between 1960 and 2000, as well as analyzing the three debates in 2008 between Democrat Barack Obama and Republican John McCain.

Gregory noted a tendency for McCain to show dominance in the lower nonverbal frequencies of his voice while Obama finished the debates more strongly.

Gregory and his Kent State colleague Will Kalhoff observed a “recency effect,” in which potential voters take away more of an impression from the end of debates.

Obama had a “rope-a-dope” debating style akin to the boxing techniques of heavyweight legend Muhammed Ali who would hang back from the start of a fight until his opponent exhausted himself and then dominate the end of the match, according to Gregory who concluded the victorious candidate is the one who sets the tone, so to speak.

“We found it was the person who changed the least in his lower frequencies compared to the other person, so in effect from the beginning, he would set the lower frequency tone and the other person would adapt to that in the course of debates,” says Gregory.

The effect also could be seen in the 2016 Republican primary where President Donald Trump, initially regarded as a longshot, overwhelmed as many as 10 candidates on the debate stage, including former Florida governor Jeb Bush and Senators Marco Rubio of Florida and Ted Cruz of Texas.

“It was just obvious this is what he did,” states Gregory.

As Vox news editor Libby Nelson, also an adjunct professor of public affairs at American University, wrote, looking back on Trump’s primary debates’ performance: Trump would “pick out one or two antagonists during any given debate — always some combination of Bush, Marco Rubio, and Ted Cruz — to try to take down. The point wasn’t to get them to concede a policy point to him, but to establish that Trump was the one who should be allowed to talk.”

Some who work on campaigns cast doubt, however, on relying on such research to predict outcomes of races, especially for presidential contests where voters are more likely to more intensively scrutinize candidates.

“I’m skeptical as a practitioner of anytime someone comes and says, ‘We have isolated the thing that impacts the results of a campaign’— whether it’s yard signs, TV ads, money in politics or how someone talks,” says Matt Dole, who has worked on about 250 local and state campaigns of Republican candidates in Ohio.

Dole tells VOA that voices “could have a role” in influencing voters, as might a candidate’s gender, facial characteristics, height, attire and other cosmetic features.

Gregory was asked who among the large field of 2020 Democratic hopefuls might best set the advantageous low tone during the party’s upcoming televised debates?

Senator Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts “is pretty good at this kind of thing,” Gregory replied, noting he is also curious to see how former Texas Congressman Beto O’Rourke performs.

While Warren’s voice may not be as low as some of her primary race male competitors (or that of Trump), Gregory says what is more important is “the ability to maintain a certain tone and keep it and not alter or fade back on it in the course of the debate or the interview.”

Former Pima County, Arizona Democratic Party Chair Don Jorgensen says,“Warren has learned the secret of speaking slower, breaking up her rhythm and finishing on a strong low beat to keep audiences engaged.”

Jorgensen also says Warren “employs her slightly breathless tone to indicate urgency and rather than attempting to shout at crowds she effectively forces them to tune in to her.”

Effective candidates have learned that speeches and debates “are a form of political performance art, where appearance and tone leave a far stronger impression than the message itself,” Jorgensen tells VOA.

Gregory agrees, putting it even more bluntly.

“What you say doesn’t make any difference,” says Gregory, noting Trump’s 2016 boast:“I could stand in the middle of 5th Avenue and shoot somebody and I wouldn’t lose voters.”

Gregory says that makes people conclude “You could put anyone up there as long as they had the right kind of frequency insignia.”

Klofstad in Miami has a different take on Trump.

“I don’t think Trump is a good case study in the pitch of the voice mattering,” he says, arguing that when it comes to the current president “it’s more cadence,” pointing to Trump’s ability to hold an audience with extemporaneous remarks at big rallies.

Looking at the current pack of Democrats, Gregory contrasts the telegenic O’Rourke (“credibly audacious and articulate when it comes to issues but he’s kind of all over the place”) to lesser known contender Jay Inslee, governor of the state of Washington who focuses on the environmental issue.

On an acoustical basis, according to Gregory, Inslee also seems to maintain a single authoritative tone, meaning “he has a pretty good chance.”

A cacophony of other candidates is certain to voice skepticism about that.


Рівень захворюваності на кір в Україні продовжує зростати – МОЗ

Рівень захворюваності на кір в Україні продовжує зростати. Про це повідомили у міністерстві охорони здоров’я України.

«За оперативними даними Центру громадського здоров’я МОЗ України, протягом 15-го тижня 2019 року на кір захворіли 2 279 людей – 1204 дорослих та 1 075 дітей», – мовиться у повідомленні.

З 5 по 11 квітня найбільше нових випадків кору зареєстровано у Києві (309 хворих: 199 дорослих і 110 дітей), у Харківській (239: 165 дорослих та 74 дитини), Київській (197: 120 дорослих та 77 дітей), Хмельницькій (186: 93 дорослих і 93 дитини) та Львівській (157: 41 дорослий та 116 дітей) областях.

З початку року на кір захворіло 39 549 людей – 18 187 дорослих і 21 362 дитини. Від викликаних ним ускладнень померли 14 людей.

«МОЗ України спільно з місцевою владою продовжує спеціальні заходи, щоби зупинити спалах кору в країні. Упродовж першого кварталу спецоперація для підвищення рівня вакцинації і подолання кору тривала у Львівський області. Результат – 90% дітей мають захист від кору, Львівщина перестала бути лідером серед областей з найвищими показниками захворюваності на кір. Найближчими днями подібна спецоперація розпочнеться у Хмельницькій області, у якій щотижня зростає кількість нових випадків хвороби», – зазначили у МОЗ.

Кір – надзвичайно заразне інфекційне захворювання, що передається від хворої людини до здорової повітряно-крапельним шляхом, тобто під час чхання, кашлю або розмови хворого. Вірус кору може жити в повітрі й на поверхнях до двох годин після того, як хвора людина залишила приміщення.

Дев’ять із десяти невакцинованих людей, що контактують із хворим, будуть заражені. Захворювання на кір може мати тяжкий перебіг і призвести до серйозних ускладнень – пневмонії, вушної інфекції, запалення мозку (енцефаліту), а також до інвалідності та смерті.

Специфічного лікування від кору немає. Єдиний спосіб запобігти ускладненням і смерті від кору – вакцинація.


Omar Reports Rise in Death Threats After Trump Tweet

U.S. Rep. Ilhan Omar says she has experienced an increase in death threats in the days since President Donald Trump posted a video critical of her comments about the September 11, 2001 terror attacks.

In a statement late Sunday, Omar said many of those threatening her life directly referenced Trump’s post. She also cited a rise in violence and acts of hate by right wing extremists in the United States and elsewhere in the world, saying “we can no longer ignore that they are being encouraged” by Trump.

“Violent rhetoric and all forms of hate speech have no place in our society, much less from our country’s commander in chief,” she wrote. “We are all Americans. This is endangering lives. It has to stop.”

Earlier in the day, the White House denied Trump is inciting violence and Islamophobia.

“Certainly the president is wishing no ill will and certainly not violence towards anyone,” White House spokeswoman Sarah Sanders told Fox News Sunday. “But the president should be calling out the congresswoman for not only one time but a history of anti-Semitic comments,” she added, accusing Omar’s fellow Democrats of “looking the other way.”

House Speaker Nancy Pelosi said the memories of the September 11, 2001, terrorist attack on New York and Washington are “sacred ground and any discussion of it must be done with reverence.”

Pelosi called Trump’s video “disrespectful and dangerous” and said it must be removed.

​Democratic Congressman Jerrold Nadler said on CNN Sunday he had no problem with Omar’s comments.

“I have had some problems with some of her other remarks, but not with that one,” he said.

In an emotional speech last month to the Council on American-Islamic Relations, Omar spoke out against discrimination against and suspicions of Muslims.

“CAIR was founded after 9/11 because they recognized that some people did something, that all of us were starting to lose access to our civil liberties … for far too long we have lived with the discomfort of being a second-class citizen and, frankly, I’m tired of it and every single Muslim in the country should be tired of it,” she said.

Trump’s Friday tweet included Omar’s brief line “somebody did something” followed by more than 40 seconds of September 11 terrorist attack news footage and a large graphic repeating the words “somebody did something.” 

Other Omar critics have focused solely on that one single line, accusing her of trivializing the inhumanity of September 11 but not mentioning the rest of her speech.

Some Democrats accuse Trump of stirring up the same kind of Islamophobia that Omar was decrying.

Nadler said Trump has “no moral authority” for talking about September 11. He accuses Trump of “stealing” a $150,000 grant meant for small-business owners to rebuild their destroyed businesses after the attack and using that money for his own real estate holding. 

Democratic presidential candidate Bernie Sanders noted that then-President George W. Bush, a Republican, went to a mosque after 9/11 to assure Muslim Americans that they are not criminals and terrorists. 



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