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Гуґ: минулого тижня на Донбасі загинули двоє цивільних, ще двоє поранені

Двоє цивільних загинули у Золотому, заявив на прес-брифінгу заступник голови Спеціальної моніторингової місії ОБСЄ Александр Гуґ.

«У Золотому 38-річна мати і її 17-річна донька загинули внаслідок того, що поблизу їхнього будинку розірвалися снаряди. В полі неподалік від населеного пункту хлопець отримав поранення від осколка артилерійського снаряда», – повідомив він.

Крім того, додав представник місії, ще один цивільний отримав поранення у Лутугіному, що в Луганській області, наступивши на міну.

Читайте також: «На переговорах щодо звільнення заручників на Донбасі прогресу немає – Геращенко​»

На переконання Гуґа, існує прямий зв’язок між порушенням режиму тиші і жертвами серед цивільних. Напикінці минулого тижня моніторингова місія зафіксувала відчутне збільшення кількості обстрілів.

«В останні три дні минулого тижня відбулося різке зростання рівня насильства. У той час, як за перші чотири дня тижня СММ ОБСЄ зафіксувало 1400 порушень режиму вогню щоденно, середня кількість таких порушень протягом решти трьох днів становила понад 2300. Тобто зростання на 60%», – заявив представник ОБСЄ.

Він вчергове закликав сторони до дотримання режиму тиші і повного виконання Мінських угод.

Читайте також: «Заступник голови СММ ОБСЄ Гуґ іде у відставку з жовтня – ЗМІ​»

Тристороння контактна група з урегулювання ситуації на Донбасі домовилася про чергове перемир’я, починаючи з півночі 29 серпня. Рішення ухвалили у зв’язку з початком навчального року. Однак в перші ж години ОБСЄ зафіксувала порушення домовленостей.

Раніше схожі режими тиші також не дотримувалися, сторони звинувачували в порушеннях одна одну.

Унаслідок російської гібридної агресії на сході України з квітня 2014 року в регіоні, за даними ООН, загинули понад 10 тисяч людей іще станом на кінець 2017 року – відтоді нових даних не оголошували.

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63% українців хочуть внутрішнього врегулювання війни на Донбасі – дослідження

63% українців вважають, що рішення конфлікту на Донбасі має спиратися виключно на українських учасників урегулювання. Таку думку підтримує ще більше половини опитаних в кількох країнах Європи, а саме Франції, Німеччині, Сербії та Латвії, а також в Росії. Про це під час Експертного форуму Горшеніна заявив аналітик регіонального офісу австрійського Фонду імені Фрідріха Еберта з питань співробітництва і безпеки в Європі Сімон Вайс.

Читайте також: «Надзвичайна ситуація в Торецьку. Місто на лінії розмежування лишилося без води (рос.)​»

«Ми досліджуємо цю проблему в два етапи – спочатку традиційні соціологічні опитування разом із інститутами в цих країнах. Ми закінчили це опитування пару тижнів тому. Цей результат ми доповнюємо фокус-групами експертів в кожній країні. Ми вже були в Києві, Ризі й Белграді. Наступного тижня їдемо в Париж і так далі. Там ми обговорюємо результати опитування і можна знайти різницю в думках експертів і громадськості», – пояснив Вайс, відповідаючи на запитання Радіо Свобода.

Він також наголосив, що остаточні результати дослідження будуть представлені в лютому 2019 року на Мюнхенській конференції з безпеки. Пізніше, коментуючи журналістам природу конфлікту на Донбасі, Вайс також висловив думку, що на сьогодні суспільство звикло до конфлікту, а політиків він влаштовує – вони можуть мобілізовувати населення, говорячи про, наприклад, «деокупацію», і не обговорювати складні теми, наприклад, реінтеграцію людей і територій.

Читайте також: «Донбас: миротворча місія (не)здійсненна​»

«Люди від Львова до Маріуполя дійсно звикли до конфлікту, хоча всі по-різному. Людям набридає цей конфлікт, але вони не хочуть турбуватися про рішення. І тому політикам легко мобілізовувати під сильними лозунгами, тою ж «деокупацією». І при цьому це питання не знаходиться в конструктивному руслі, де його можна обговорювати», – заявив Вайс.

На його думку, вже зараз треба говорити про бажані інститути реінтеграції – або через миротворців, або через поступове розширення територій без бойовиків. Також треба обговорювати, як будуть з’ясовувати причетність місцевих мешканців до злочинів і чи буде перехідний період перед виборами.

18 жовтня в Одесі проходить X Національний експертний форум, організатором якого виступає Інститут Горшеніна, а їхнім партнером – представництво Фонду Фрідріха Еберта в Україні та Білорусі.

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Tennessee Women Slow to Back GOP’s Blackburn in Senate Race

If Republican Marsha Blackburn were to win in November, the congresswoman would become the first female U.S. senator in Tennessee history. And yet women have been slow to embrace her campaign.

A Vanderbilt University poll conducted Oct. 8-13 showed Blackburn trailing former Tennessee Gov. Phil Bredesen, a Democrat, 49 percent to 37 percent among women likely to vote. The same poll found that men likely to vote favored Blackburn 50-37 percent, even as the broader poll showed the race is a tossup.

 

The stark gender divide, which has persisted in polling throughout the campaign, stands out in what has been described as the year of the female voter. Aware of the stakes as Democrats try to take control of the Senate, both candidates have intensified efforts to win over women as Election Day nears — vividly demonstrating that those voters are pivotal even in a deeply red state.

 

“Women are increasingly more liberal, and men are increasingly more conservative,” said Amanda Clayton, an assistant professor of political science at Vanderbilt University. “That trend is becoming more pronounced and is likely to become more pronounced as it gets closer to the election.”

 

Blackburn’s tea party roots can appeal to conservative men who oppose traditionally liberal feminist candidates, Clayton said.

 

The push to confirm Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh, she added, may have given those men reason to look for women they could support, perhaps in response to more liberal women running for office.

 

Blackburn, the first female major-party Senate nominee from Tennessee, has previously demurred when talking about the groundbreaking aspects of her campaign. She said she isn’t running on gender and has declined to answer questions about sexism she’s encountered. When she was elected to Congress in 2002, she asked to be called “congressman” rather than “congresswoman.”

 

But Blackburn’s campaign has been willing to play the gender card.

In February, when some Republicans worried about losing a Senate seat encouraged retiring U.S. Sen. Bob Corker to reconsider, Blackburn’s spokesman said anyone who thought she couldn’t win the general election was a “plain sexist pig.”

 

More recently, Blackburn herself has suggested a liberal bias on gender matters.

 

“Republican women are never going to get the attention that Democratic women are going to get,” she said in a recent AP interview. “And you just expect that. I fully understand that Republican women do not fit the narrative that many in the media would like to construct. But I will tell you this: Most women, and you mentioned suburban moms, are very much like me.”

 

Her campaign has emphasized her attempts to break the glass ceiling: the first woman hired by the Southwestern Company — a marketing business that sells educational materials — and the only Republican woman in the Tennessee Senate in 1998.

 

“Fighting against all odds is the story of her life,” the narrator of one ad says.

 

Blackburn’s team also has targeted Bredesen’s handling of sexual harassment claims when he was governor.

 

In 2005, The Associated Press reviewed more than 600 workplace harassment investigation files collected when Bredesen was elected in 2002. The AP found that sexual and workplace harassment reports in 2005 were on pace to almost double from the previous year. Bredesen argued that reporting was up rather than the actual number of incidents.

 

Blackburn accused Bredesen of shredding records to cover up poor performance, but Bredesen called that a “total mischaracterization” and said he was trying to protect the privacy of those who complained.

 

And Bredesen’s decision to support Kavanaugh has raised new questions about his support among women. The move appalled some Democrats, but others saw it as a way to win over Republicans in a state where he needs them.

 

In September, his campaign unveiled “Women United for Bredesen” — a group it says has roughly 50,000 Tennesseans aimed at providing a “space for women” to focus on their top issues.

 

Recently, pop superstar Taylor Swift broke her long silence on politics to endorse the Democrat. Swift said in an Instagram post that she wanted to back female candidates but could not support Blackburn because of her voting history on LGBTQ issues, opposition to the Violence Against Women Act and an equal pay law — saying bluntly that the congresswoman’s voting record “appalls and terrifies me.”

 

On the ground, Blackburn’s core supporters say party loyalty will outweigh gender at the end of the day — though they don’t always disconnect the two.

 

“She has set an amazing example, and in return, we are seeing more women running for office across the state,” said Barbara Trautman, president of the Tennessee Federation of Republican Women. “We are very loyal to her.”

 

Yet Bredesen is a looming threat, Trautman added, warning that voter turnout — particularly women — will be key.

 

“At this point, I’m not putting a lot of stock into polls,” she said. “She’s one of us, and we have high hopes.”

 

 

 

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Biden: Trump ‘Coddles’ Autocrats Like Kim, Putin, Saudis

Former U.S. vice president Joe Biden says President Donald Trump may not “know what he’s doing” and coddles dictators.  

The potential 2020 Democratic presidential candidate told CBS “This Morning” Thursday he’s concerned Trump “seems to have a love affair with autocrats” and “coddles” dictators, including North Korea’s Kim Jong Un, Russia’s Vladimir Putin and the Saudi ruling family.

Biden says Trump either “doesn’t know what he’s doing or he has an absolutely convoluted notion” of America’s leadership in the world.

White House aides suggest that while Trump doesn’t criticize certain world leaders publicly, he’s willing to deliver tough messages behind closed doors.

Biden said he hopes Democrats don’t pursue Trump’s impeachment if the party takes over the House, saying, “I don’t think there’s a basis for doing that right now.”

 

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Рада ухвалила бюджет 2019 року в першому читанні

Парламент також передав Кабінету міністрів свої пропозиції до бюджету до другого читання

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White House Counsel Don McGahn Returns to Civilian Life

Don McGahn has returned to civilian life. 

A White House official confirms that Wednesday was McGahn’s last day as White House counsel. The official spoke on condition of anonymity to discuss personnel matters.

President Donald Trump announced in August that McGahn would leave after the confirmation of Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court. 

McGahn is a top election lawyer who served as general counsel in Trump’s election campaign. He played a pivotal role in the president’s remaking of the federal judiciary with young, conservative judges, like Kavanaugh. He was also the main point of contact inside the White House for special counsel Robert Mueller’s investigation into Russian meddling in the 2016 election.

In an interview Tuesday with The Associated Press, Trump said Washington lawyer Pat Cipollone would replace McGahn

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Minnesota House Hopeful Calls Marriage, Fraud Allegations ‘Lies’

A Minnesota Democratic candidate for Congress is poised to become the first Somali-American elected to the U.S. House. But as the election approaches, Ilhan Omar is dogged by questions about her past. 

The allegations first raised by conservative media in 2016 include claims that she married her brother and committed immigration fraud. More recent claims allege misuse of campaign funds.

Last week, Minnesota Republicans in the 5th District launched a digital billboard campaign and website highlighting the allegations.

Omar denied the allegations, telling The Associated Press the claims about her family are “disgusting lies” and saying she’s being attacked because she’s Muslim. But she has declined to provide documents or answer specific questions.

The Minneapolis Star Tribune has called on her to be more transparent about her campaign finances. 

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Migrants Moving Again in Guatemala; Trump Targets Democrats

More than 2,000 Honduran migrants traveling en masse through Guatemala resumed their journey toward the United States on Wednesday as U.S. President Donald Trump sought to turn the caravan into a political issue three weeks before midterm elections. 

A day after warning Central American governments they risked losing U.S. aid if they didn’t do something and saying that anyone entering the country illegally would be arrested and deported, Trump turned his sights on Democrats and urged Republican allies to campaign on border security.

“Hard to believe that with thousands of people from South of the Border, walking unimpeded toward our country in the form of large Caravans, that the Democrats won’t approve legislation that will allow laws for the protection of our country. Great Midterm issue for Republicans!” Trump said in a Wednesday morning tweet.

“Republicans must make the horrendous, weak and outdated immigration laws, and the Border, a part of the Midterms!” he continued.

In Guatemala, the migrants rose early and many left without eating breakfast, bound for Zacapa, the next city on their route. Overcast skies and a light drizzle took the edge off the sweltering heat and humidity, making the trek more bearable. 

‘It is God who decides’

Migrant Luis Navarreto, 32, said he had read about Trump’s threats regarding aid to his country but was undeterred.

“We are going to continue,” Navarreto said. “It is God who decides here. We have no other option but to move ahead.” 

The migrants are fleeing widespread poverty and gang violence in one of the world’s most murderous countries, and many blamed Honduran President Juan Orlando Hernandez for what they called unlivable conditions back home. 

“We are here because of Juan Orlando,” said migrant Nelson Zavala, 36, adding that the last three days had essentially been sleepless ones.

The previous day, the migrants advanced about 30 miles (48 kilometers) from the Honduras-Guatemala border to arrive at the city of Chiquimula.

That’s a tiny portion of the almost 1,350 miles (2,170 kilometers) they’d have to travel to reach the closest U.S. border.

Some were able to hitch rides, and hundreds advanced farther and faster than the main group to reach the Guatemalan capital, according to the Casa del Migrante shelter there.

Late Tuesday, the Office of the U.N. High Commissioner for Human Rights called on Honduras, Guatemala and Mexico to respect the rights and ensure the safety of the migrants traveling in the caravan.

The caravan has snowballed since about 160 migrants departed Friday from the Honduran city of San Pedro Sula, with many people joining spontaneously while carrying just a few belongings. Estimates of their numbers ranged up to 3,000. 

Three weeks before the U.S. elections, the caravan was bound to draw Trump’s ire. But he did not follow through on a similar threat to cut aid to Honduras in April over an earlier caravan, which eventually petered out in Mexico.

‘Political groups’ blamed

On Tuesday, Honduras’ president accused unnamed “political groups” of  organizing the caravan based on lies in order to cause problems in Honduras.

“There are sectors that want to destabilize the country, but we will be decisive and we will not allow it,” Hernandez told reporters.

Earlier, the Foreign Ministry alleged that people had been lured to join the migration with “false promises” of a transit visa through Mexico and the opportunity to seek asylum in the United States.

In a joint statement Wednesday, Mexico’s Foreign Relations and Interior departments said that anyone in the caravan with travel documents and a proper visa would be allowed to enter, and that anyone who wanted to apply for refugee status could do so.

But the statement said all cases must be processed individually, suggesting that authorities have no intention of letting the migrants simply cross the border en masse without going through standard immigration procedures.

The statement warned that anyone who entered Mexico in an “irregular manner” faced detention and deportation.

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AP Fact Check: Trump Distorts Migrant Policy, Russia Probe

President Donald Trump mischaracterized the plight of children who were taken from parents at the Mexico border and what’s known about Russia’s interference in the 2016 election investigation in his wide-ranging interview with The Associated Press.

A look at his comments on those subjects Tuesday:

Immigration

Trump: “We have the worst laws in the history of the world on immigration and we’re getting them changed one by one. We’ve made a lot of progress in the last couple of weeks even, but we’re getting them changed one by one.”

The facts: He’s actually failed to achieve changes in immigration laws. All of the immigration-related changes pushed by his administration were done by executive order, not legislation, or through policy shifts like the zero-tolerance policy that criminally prosecuted anyone caught crossing illegally and gave rise to family separations. The administration has also used regulations to tighten the rules on how immigrants can receive public benefits. Immigration legislation has failed despite Republican control of the White House and both houses of Congress.

Trump, on the separation of children from their parents at the border: “Now President Obama had the same law. He did the same thing.”

The facts: Obama did not do the same thing as a matter of policy. It’s true the underlying laws were the same. But the Trump administration mandated anyone caught crossing the border illegally was to be criminally prosecuted. The policy meant adults were taken to court for criminal proceedings, and their children were separated and sent into the care of the Health and Human Services Department, which is tasked with caring for unaccompanied migrant children. The so-called zero-tolerance policy remains in effect, but Trump signed an executive order June 20 that stopped separations.

Jeh Johnson, Obama’s homeland security secretary, told NPR there may have been unusual or emergency circumstances when children were taken from parents but there was no such policy.

​Trump: “And in fact the picture of children living in cages that was taken in 2014 was a picture of President Obama’s administration and the way they handled children. They had the kids living in cages. They thought it was our administration and they used it, and then unbeknownst to them and the fake news they found out, ‘Oh my God, this is a terrible situation.’ This was during the Obama administration.”

The facts: He’s right. Images that circulated online during the height of Trump’s family separations controversy were actually from 2014 under the Obama administration. But circumstances for some children have not changed. In June, an Associated Press reporter was part of a group that visited a U.S. Border Patrol holding facility, where hundreds of children were waiting in a series of cages created by metal fencing. One cage had 20 children inside, scattered around were bottles of water, bags of chips and large foil sheets intended to serve as blankets. The cages in each wing opened out into common areas to use portable restrooms.

The children both in 2014 and 2018 were separated temporarily from their parents in the facilities, placed in areas by age and sex for safety reasons.

Russia investigation

Trump, about Mueller’s Russia investigation: “It’s a tremendous waste of time for the president of the United States. To think that I would be even thinking about using Russia to help me win Idaho, we’re using Russia to help me win the great state of Iowa or anywhere else is the most preposterous, embarrassing thing.”

​The facts: Trump may be right that he did not need a boost in Idaho and Iowa, states he won in 2016 with comfortable margins of 31 points and 9 points, respectively. But the notion of Russia-backed activities on his behalf “anywhere else” in the U.S. is not far-fetched, according to an indictment in February by special counsel Robert Mueller.

The indictment accuses 13 Russians and three Russian entities of seeking to help Trump defeat Democrat Hillary Clinton by running a hidden social media trolling campaign and seeking to mobilize Trump supporters at rallies while posing as American political activists in “purple states like Colorado, Virginia and Florida.” According to the indictment, the surreptitious campaign was organized by the Internet Research Agency, a Russian troll farm financed by companies controlled by Yevgeny Prigozhin, a wealthy businessman with ties to President Vladimir Putin.

The indictment says the defendants commonly referred to targeting more closely divided “purple states” after being advised by a Texas-based grass-roots organization in June 2016 to focus efforts there.

The indictment details contacts targeting three unidentified officials in the Trump campaign’s Florida operation. In each instance, the Russians used false U.S. personas to contact the officials. The indictment doesn’t say if any of them responded.

Trump lost by nearly 2.9 million votes in the popular vote to Clinton, but captured the needed Electoral College votes to win the presidency after prevailing in politically divided states including Florida, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

Trump: “This was an excuse made by the Democrats for the reason they lost the Electoral College, which gives them a big advantage — a big advantage. Very different than the popular vote. The popular vote would be much easier to win if you were campaigning on it. … But winning the Electoral College is a tremendous advantage for the Democrats.”

The facts: Trump is falsely asserting, as he has before, that Democrats have a “big advantage” in the Electoral College. Its unique system of electing presidents is actually a big reason why Trump won the presidency. Four candidates in history have won a majority of the popular vote only to be denied the presidency by the Electoral College. All were Democrats.

In the 2016 election, Clinton received nearly 2.9 million more votes than Trump after racking up lopsided victories in big states such as New York and California, according to election data compiled by The Associated Press. But she lost the presidency due to Trump’s winning margin in the Electoral College, which came after he narrowly won less populous Midwestern states including Michigan and Wisconsin.

Unlike the popular vote, Electoral College votes are set equal to the number of U.S. representatives in each state plus its two senators. That means more weight is given to a single vote in a small state than the vote of someone in a large state.

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На акції під АП дивилися інтерв’ю Семочка і підписували листівки Порошенкові (фото+відео)

Близько ста людей зібралися під Адміністрацією Президента в Києві. Учасники акції, серед яких активісти і журналісти, вимагали від президента Петра Порошенка прокоментувати результати журналістських розслідувань проти високопосадовців.

Захід влаштувала редакція видання BIHUS.info, яка в такий спосіб також відзначила п’яту річницю заснування. На ньому журналісти разом з усіма присутніми переглянули інтерв’ю колишнього співробітника СБУ, першого заступника голови Служби зовнішньої розвідки Сергія Семочка, оприлюднене напередодні, 16 жовтня, на телеканалі Zik.

В ньому Семочко спростовує тези, висунуті щодо нього журналістами. Під час перегляду голова BIHUS.info, журналіст Денис Бігус зупиняв запис і коментував заяви Семочка. Наприклад, на слова екс-посадовця про те, що всі його статки були оприлюднені в електронних деклараціях, Бігус зауважив, що декларації працівників спецслужб не є публічними.

Учасники вимагали від президента Порошенка зреагувати на викриття розслідувачів. Журналісти зібралися з приводу не лише цього випадку, а й інших журналістських розслідувань, які залишилися без коментарів президента України, а також нерозкритих нападів на активістів.

Комітет Верховної Ради з питань запобігання та протидії корупції у Києві провів засідання, на яке запросили представників Служби безпеки України. Попри те, що на комітеті не було кворуму, все ж парламентарі поставили свої запитання керівникам силового відомства, однак у відповідь здебільшого почули «Державна таємниця».

Голова Служби зовнішньої розвідки України Єгор Божок заявив, що не має правових підстав ініціювати відсторонення Семочка з його посади.

Служба безпеки України 16 жовтня заявила, що в межах розпочатого за заявою журналіста Дениса Бігуса кримінального провадження за частиною 1 статті 111 («державна зрада») Кримінального кодексу України перевіряє оприлюднену у ЗМІ інформацію щодо колишнього співробітника СБУ Сергія Семочка.

Національне антикорупційне бюро України 3 жовтня відкрило провадження щодо першого заступника голови Служби зовнішньої розвідки Сергія Семочка. Провадження зареєстроване за статтею 368-2 Кримінального кодексу України (незаконне збагачення) за матеріалами журналістського розслідування програми «Наші гроші».

Журналісти стверджують, що родичі Семочка мають нерухоме майно на понад 200 мільйонів гривень. Розслідувачі припускають, що посадовець отримав статки завдяки «дахуванню» фармацевтичних компаній. Вони зазначають, що Семочко у відповіді на запит не пояснив походження майна.

Семочко призначений першим заступником голови Служби зовнішньої розвідки України президентським указом від 31 липня. До цього він очолював управління СБУ в Києві та Київській області. Ще раніше Семочко був керівником Головного управління контррозвідувального захисту інтересів держави у сфері економічної безпеки СБУ.

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